Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.000213 0.000239 0.000266 0.000297 0.000332 0.000369 0.000413
2025-01-19 0.000180 0.000214 0.000254 0.000302 0.000359 0.000426 0.000509
2025-01-26 0.000152 0.000191 0.000238 0.000300 0.000377 0.000471 0.000595
2025-02-02 0.000138 0.000182 0.000238 0.000315 0.000415 0.000545 0.000723
2025-02-09 0.000123 0.000170 0.000232 0.000320 0.000442 0.000604 0.000839
2025-02-16 0.000111 0.000159 0.000226 0.000324 0.000465 0.000662 0.000957
2025-02-23 0.000099 0.000148 0.000218 0.000324 0.000482 0.000711 0.001067
2025-03-02 0.000088 0.000136 0.000207 0.000318 0.000489 0.000745 0.001159
2025-03-09 0.000080 0.000127 0.000199 0.000316 0.000502 0.000789 0.001267
2025-03-16 0.000073 0.000120 0.000194 0.000316 0.000518 0.000838 0.001386
2025-03-23 0.000068 0.000115 0.000189 0.000318 0.000535 0.000890 0.001515
2025-03-30 0.000062 0.000108 0.000183 0.000316 0.000546 0.000932 0.001632
2025-04-06 0.000058 0.000102 0.000178 0.000316 0.000562 0.000985 0.001776
2025-04-13 0.000053 0.000098 0.000174 0.000318 0.000581 0.001048 0.001944
2025-04-20 0.000049 0.000091 0.000168 0.000314 0.000589 0.001090 0.002079
2025-04-27 0.000047 0.000091 0.000171 0.000328 0.000633 0.001201 0.002354
2025-05-04 0.000045 0.000088 0.000169 0.000334 0.000659 0.001283 0.002579
2025-05-11 0.000042 0.000085 0.000167 0.000337 0.000683 0.001360 0.002804
2025-05-18 0.000039 0.000081 0.000163 0.000337 0.000698 0.001423 0.003005
2025-05-25 0.000036 0.000076 0.000157 0.000330 0.000700 0.001460 0.003156
2025-06-01 0.000034 0.000073 0.000152 0.000328 0.000712 0.001516 0.003354
2025-06-08 0.000032 0.000070 0.000149 0.000329 0.000728 0.001583 0.003582
2025-06-15 0.000030 0.000067 0.000147 0.000330 0.000747 0.001658 0.003833